UK Government deceit: overclaiming the reduction in UK CO2 emissions


The UK Government persistently claims it has achieved a fall in CO2 emissions of over 40% since 1990, but the real fall is only about 11%.


How does the UK Government get its figures?

The figures claimed by the UK Government are obtained by

Examples of the the Government's claims


What are the actual figures?

The chart shows the changes in UK greenhouse gas emissions since 1990. It is an edited version of a chart published by the UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy [3]:
The actual fall including aviation but excluding shipping can be estimated as 11% (from 990Mt in 1990 to 880Mt in 2016) - see Appendix.

Why should imports and exports be included?

Over the last three decades, much manufacturing of items sold in the UK has been transferred from the UK to overseas, especially China and India. The items are manufactured only because of the purchasing in the UK. It is clearly of no benefit to the climate emergency to merely transfer manufacturing from one country to another - the world total is unaffected (or might actually be increased due to the transport emissions).

Conclusion

The UK Government is making a big thing of the UK "leading the world" in emission reduction - but it is not true. It is major deceit on an issue of vital importance. The false claims have continued despite the objections. The strategy seems to be that if it is repeated often enough, people will believe it. It is not just a single aberration but systematic institutionalised deceit.

This deceit is one of several UK Government climate deceits - see document 106.

Who is speaking up about the deceit?


Who is repeating the deceit?


How is the UK Government responding to the criticisms?

It isn't, which is an indication that the deceit is deliberate. If the Government cares about getting things right, why is there no transparency and accountability?

Action needed

People who care about Truth and Justice, and about leaving children a habitable planet should

Appendix

The figures for emssions from aviation by UK citizens are obtained from
Uncertainties include how much fuel is used taken on at refueling stops, and how many UK citizens make a short flight to a European airport as the first leg on a long distance flight.

Notes and references

[1][UK Government (October 2021) Net Zero Strategy: Build Back Greener https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1026655/net-zero-strategy.pdf
[2]https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-speech-in-greenwich-3-february-2020
[3]The chart is an edited version of Figure 1 from 2019 UK Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Final Figures (2021) Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/final-uk-greenhouse-gas-emissions-national-statistics
[4]WWF/University of Leeds (Mar 2020) https://www.wwf.org.uk/sites/default/files/2020-04/FINAL-WWF-UK_Carbon_Footprint_Analysis_Report_March_2020%20%28003%29.pdf
[5]https://twitter.com/KevinClimate/status/1039931085986181122
[6]Greta Thunberg (2019) Can you hear me? (speech to MPs) https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/apr/23/greta-thunberg-full-speech-to-mps-you-did-not-act-in-time
[7]Greta Thunberg accuses the UK of lying about its climate success ahead of COP26 (2021) https://inews.co.uk/news/environment/greta-thunberg-cop26-climate-change-emissions-carbon-footprint-1159154
[8]Fridays for Future member Face the climate emergency Open letter (Jul 2020) https://climateemergencyeu.org/
[9]George Monbiot & Leo Murray (2013) Carbon Omissions: how the UK outsourced its carbon footprint https://www.theguardian.com/environment/video/2013/apr/24/carbon-omissions-uk-footprint-animation
[10]Corbyn pledges Labour transparency on UK carbon footprint (Jul 2019) https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jul/14/climate-crisis-carbon-emissions-leakage-labour-party-corbyn
[11]Extinction Rebellion protesters have repeatedly pointed out that the Government's claims of large emission reductions are based on omitting aviation, shipping and emissions embodied in imports, e.g. Rupert Read as part of a delegtion meeting Michael Gove, May 2019 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMGqP5rP8v8 (at 15 mins)
[12]https://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/The-Sixth-Carbon-Budget-The-UKs-path-to-Net-Zero.pdf
[13]https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-is-now-halfway-to-meeting-its-net-zero-emissions-target
[14]https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/economy/environmentalaccounts/datasets/ukenvironmentalaccountsfuelusebytypeandindustry/current/fuelusebytypeandindustry.xls
[15]https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.EG.ZS
[16]https://www.carbonindependent.org/22.html




First published: 2 Apr 2021
Last updated: 1 Nov 2021